Syria- Wars Within Wars

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This is the story of an unfortunate country whose innocent public is dying daily under shadow of wars in wars. The people started with a defnite persuit but found themselves in death trap. The complexity of this war can be understood by a few features –

  1. A protest was inspired by events of “Arab Spring” revolt of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Yemen. But the same Arab Spring magic seems to completely fail here. In April, 2011, this peaceful protest was against suppression of voice, dictatorship, corruption and unemployment turned into bloody shooting the innocent protesters. But the very purpose of war turned into tertiary war now.
  2. The forces fighting here- Rebel (The common people of this country), Terrorist groups, Kurds, vested interest nations and the ruling government of Syria.
  3. Some nations are not really sure that why they are fighting -like USA, Russia, Jordan, Saudi Arab. It was not required for them to participate but they landed in war to counter other’s influence.
  4. Taking advantage of unrest Syrian Kurds are fighting for independent Kurdistan.
  5. Turkey is fighting to suppress the Kurds revolt in NE of Syria so that it does not invoke the Turkish Kurds revolt.
  6. The main terrorist groups fighting are Jafaat Al Nusra (Al Quaeda branch), ISIS, Hezbolla (Lebanon), Kurd PKK and YPG (Kurdish) . UNO designated them terrorist.
  7. Government army (Syrian Army) is fighting with the its own people (Free Syrian Army).
  8. In spite of 400,000 deaths, 5 millions refugees, 4 million displaced within region the President of the country Bashar Al Assad refrains from resignation.
  9. Ignoring the national interest and future the president Bahshar Al Assad has been inviting all kind of foreign powers to quell the voice.
  10. As per some experts it is Shia-Sunni war. Sunni are 74%, Shia 13%.
  11. UN seems to be spectator in this war as super powers are in this game.

It is a blind, ruthless, selfish and ego war. Some are fighting because they are mercenary or radical terrorist (Al Nusra, ISIS, PKK, YPG, Hezbolla), others fight to counter others influence (Saudi Arab, Turkey, Qatar), or get warm water port (Russia, Iran), or get independence (Kurd), or due to fear of revolt (Turkey). Some fight because power is more important for them than democracy and so called Rebel (common man) fight to get freedom from dictatorship, corruption, unemployment.

Event 1- Start of War March, 2011. The silent protest starts by a boy painting wall with slogan. He is caught by govt, imprisoned and tortured. Public fury rises and mass protests start. These protesters are designated Rebels. This protest was inspired by “Arab Spring” success in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen and Libya where they were able to topple dictator governments. Now is the turn of Syria. But fate of this protest turned into one of the endless bloody war. Syrian Army (Ruling Govt. Military) starts firing bullets on protesters, imprison and torture the rebels.

Event 2 – Moved by the atrocities some army officiers of Syrian Army form Free Syrian Army in July, 2011. They get arms and ammunition from extremists and even manufacture in country itself.

Event 3 – Assad Govt deliberately allows the terrorists to help rebels to mislead the world that they are terrorists.

Figure- Event 1-3

Event 4 – In 2012 an Al-Queda branch Jafaat-Al-Nusra starts helping rebels. Assad refuses to give citizenship to Kurd majority Rajova region (N-E Syria) and therefore the Kurds come fullfledged against Assad. Consequence now is Syrian Army (Government) has to fight on two fronts -one against Rebels and another against Kurds.

Event 5 – Bashar-Al Assad is not able to cope this war on two fronts. Iran comes to rescue. Iran introduces its terrorist group Hezbolla in May, 2012. This makes Asad position strong against Rebels.

Figure- Event 5

Event 6 – As Iran enters the arena, Gulf countries Saudi Arab and Qatar start helping rebels through Turkey to curtail Iran influence.

Figure- Event 6

Event 7 – Rebels occupy Alleppo, Homs and Damascus. In order to take these cities back Syrian Army retreats back from Rajova and this gives opportunity to Kurds to occupy Rajova region (NE Kurd majority region). Kurds make Democratic union Party (PYD) and Peoples Protection Unit(YPG), and Syrian Democratic Front (SDF) a name given to Kurdish Army.

Event 8 – Since rebels have weakened due to Hezbolla terror group -Saudi Arab and Qatar start help to rebels through Jordan. Now the whole war polarizes as Shia- Sunni. Sunni helping Assad Govt and Shia helping rebels fighter. Assad is Shia while majority Syria is Sunni.

Event 9 – April, 2013. USA decides to give finance and arms help to rebels.

Figure- Event 7,8,9

Event 10- Aug, 2013. Assad uses chemical weapons against rebels. World condemns the act. Due to this act USA prepares to bomb Syria but Russia strongly objects saying that chemical weapons are already surrended to international body by Syria government.

Event 11 – Feb, 2014. ISIS enters Syria to help rebels. USA is NOW adament in sweeping out ISIS and wages all out air attacks on ISIS and rebels who were helping ISIS. Now the war equations get much compilcated.

Event 12- Meanwhile Turkey is worried to see Kurds strong hold in Rajova region. Turkey fears that if Kurds freedom movement is not stopped, may instigate the Turkey Kurds to independent state. But Turkey is in dilemma since Syrian Kurds are helping USA in fight with ISIS.

Figure- Event 10,11,12

Event 13 – Worried due to USA involvement, Russia forces airbases and naval ships in Syria. Russia is killing ISIS but USA accuses that Russia is killing even the rebels who are helping USA against ISIS. Russia involved just because USA entered,

Figure- Event 13

Event 14- In 2016 USA decides to withdraw from Syria, an unexpected and sudden move. Meanwhile Assad and Russia repel rebels from their strong hold Allepo. Kurds also become weaker due to sudden withdraw of USA. Turkey is not in dilemma now. Turkey chases out Kurds out of Rajova region so that Turkey can make a free zone in Rajova for Kurd refugees.

Event 15- In 2017 Assad government uses chemical weapons such as chlorine, Mustard, Phosphorous bombs. 85 people are killed. Infuriated USA starts air attacks again. Russia increases enforcement in Syria. Russia claims that chemical weapons are not used by Assad.

Event 16- Now the fight against the ISIS is top priority and the very purpose of 2011 protest, the seed is forgotten. Now Syria is occupied by different powers- Rebels, ISIS, Kurds, Syrian Army, Turkey.

Event 17- 2019. Syrian-Russian military condemns indiscriminate US attacks on civilians and civilian.

Event 18- As on 29 February 2020: the Syrian Armed Forces held 66.14% of Syrian territories; SDF 25.41%; rebel groups & Turkey 9.99%; ISIS 1.14% .

This war continues even today and no end is foreseen.

Epilogue

More than 400,000 have died because of the Syrian conflict since 2011, with 5 million seeking refugee abroad and over 6 million displaced internally, But President Bashar Al Assad has not conceded. The foreign powers, terrorist groups, Kurds continue to blood shed. This objectiveless war is turning out as war just for war and war within wars. The sufferers are common man, children and women of Syria and of course the whole world. UNO is silent and helpless.

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